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moneysense.ca, 18/03/10
Save more for retirement or else: Dodge
A dire warning for Canadians; even the best savers are not saving enough for retirement.
Stop buying those lattes or splurging on spring break vacations.
David Dodge, former governor of the Bank of Canada, says Canadians need to save far more if they want to retire comfortably – even those Canadians who think they have great company pension plans and solid RRSPs.
In a study on savings for the C.D. Howe Institute, Dodge finds that if Canadians want to maintain the same standard of living after they retire, they need to stash away between 10 and 21 per cent of their pre-tax savings every year, starting from the time they’re 35.
“This fraction is likely far higher than many Canadians believe and higher than is set aside in most employer-based group RSPs or defined-contribution plans,” Dodge writes in the paper, co-written with Alexandre Laurin and Colin Busby.
“It is also higher than the effective contribution over time of employer-sponsored defined benefit plans. And for high-income earners, (it) exceeds the annual limits placed on RRSP contributions.”
For Canadians over the age of 35 who have not kept up with their savings, they’ll need to put aside far more than 20 per cent of their income, for a smooth retirement, the paper says. Or, they’ll have to work well past the age of 65.
Dodge and two co-authors did the number-crunching in order to make people realize why there’s so much government discussion about reforming the country’s retirement-income system. They’ve issued what they call a “piggy bank index” that allows Canadians to match their savings to what they hope to have in retirement.
“Our findings provide Canadians with a reality check about the saving rates required to meet their retirement goals and inform the choices they could have to make between working longer or consuming less and saving more,” Dodge said.
The authors made numerous assumptions to come to their conclusions. They assumed Canadians would want to replace 70 per cent of their working incomes when they retire, and they assumed Canadians would retire at the age of 65.
But they also ran scenarios with a later retirement age and only a 60 per cent replacement of pre-retirement income, and still found that savings still needed to be substantial.
Their research lends weight to those who say the country’s pension system needs major reform, especially as large chunks of the population prepare for retirement.
But other research suggests that Canadian savings may not be as paltry as some policy makers and analysts fear. Once assets such as housing are taken into account, the net worth of the majority of Canadians is substantial enough to allow for a decent retirement, according to work led by University of Calgary economist Jack Mintz.
Still, many provincial governments believe retirement incomes are under siege, and are asking Ottawa to lead reforms that would build on the Canada Pension Plan and eventually deliver more generous pension benefits to retirees.
Ottawa is preparing to hold public consultations on the matter this spring, in the hope of reaching some decisions in May in conjunction with the provinces.
But even if Canadians take matters into their own hands and want to save more, they face public-policy obstacles, Dodge points out in his paper.
In particular, the Income Tax Act caps how much Canadians can save, free of tax, so acts as a disincentive for many high-income people to put away much of their income, he says.
moneysense.ca, 18/03/10









I found it here: http://www.cdhowe.org/pdf/ebrief_95.pdf. As far as i can see, Mr Dodge's analysis is based on earing a 1% real rate of return (.e. a 3% return less a 2% erosion by inflation) on your savings till you retire. Then once you retire, you use all your finds to purchase an annuity whose payout is indexed to rise 2% per year (to offset inflation). The yearly payments you get from that annity are your retirement inome which is what he uses to calculate what it would take to replace your working income (e.g. 60% replacement or whatever).
Dodge's table B1 in Appendix A showing historical rates of return from the TSX may be too pessimistic since (as far as I can tell) he didn't assume that dividends from your investments are reinvested (i.e. so he just looked at the growth in the index only… not the higher growth, aka the "total return", that would have resulted if all dividends were reinvested over the entire period of accumulation of your savings. I beleive most people would say "don't touch the capital or the income either" till I retire. If so then the rates realized would be higher than shown in table B1
Sorry ignore my last comment… He **did* look at the TSX total return.
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It is crucial that you have set your mind to set aside a part of your salary for your retirement : http://www.financialcrisistoday.org/forum/Persona... It is crucial that you have set your mind to set aside a part of your salary for your retirement. This can be in the form of a bank savings account, a 401k plan, etc.
It does not matter how small or how large an amount you will save as long as you set it aside. You can eventually increase the amount that you save for your retirement funds whenever you have extra money, you get a salary raise, or you have finished your payments.
This can be in the form of a bank savings account, a 401k plan, etc.
It does not matter how small or how large an amount you will save as long as you set it aside. You can eventually increase the amount that you save for your retirement funds whenever you have extra money, you get a salary raise, or you have finished your payments.
Too many people have an alarmingly high percentage of their retirement investments in their company's stock. Does Enron ring a bell? Have you looked at what happened to the price of big company stocks like GM? Many people lost almost everything when the bottom dropped out of those stocks: http://www.financialcrisistoday.org
Diversify your investments among available investment alternatives. It's one sure way to protect your retirement funds from market risks.
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