Remodelled Couch Potato portfolios for 2014

Another new year is upon us, and it’s time review my model Couch Potato portfolios.

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couchpotato_322I’ve been at pains to discourage investors from tinkering with their portfolios every time a new fund comes along, but 2013 did see the launch of some significant ETFs. In a couple of other cases, it was just time to replace the incumbents with less expensive choices. You can visit the Model Portfolios page for full details, but here’s a summary of the changes:

Global Couch Potato

  • I’ve added the ING Direct Streetwise Balanced Portfolio as a simple option for the Global Couch Potato. While using individual index mutual funds allows for lower costs (especially if you use the TD e-Series option) and more flexibility, the Streetwise Portfolios are ideal for investors who have small portfolios in registered accounts.

Complete Couch Potato

  • I’ve added a note suggesting that investors who do not want to trade in US dollars should consider VUNXEF and the iShares MSCI Emerging Markets IMI (XEC) instead. All three of these funds were launched in 2013, finally providing low-cost options for foreign equities without currency hedging. Outside an RRSP (where these Canadian-listed ETFs are less tax-efficient) the case for using US-listed ETFs is not as strong as it once was.

Uber-Tuber

Don’t rush to make changes

I can’t stress enough that there is no need to implement any immediate changes if you happen to follow one of my model portfolios. It makes little sense to incur two trading fees to switch to a fund that has a slightly lower MER, especially in a small portfolio. Consider, for example, the cost of switching to VAB from the iShares DEX Universe Bond (XBB). The difference in MER is seven basis points, or just $7 annually on a $10,000 investment. Meanwhile, the switch may cost you $10 per trade, and perhaps a couple of cents per share on the bid-ask spread.

In a taxable account it almost certainly a mistake to swap out an equity ETF now. Given the markets’ performance over the last couple of years, you’d likely incur a significant taxable capital gain. For example, XWD has risen in price almost 45% over the last two years. Taking a huge tax hit to save 0.22% in MER is madness. If a tax-loss harvesting opportunity arises in the future, that’s the time to make any switches in a non-registered account.

That said, many people will be making RRSP and TFSA contributions this time of year. And since 2013 was a huge year for stocks and a lousy one for bonds, chances are it’s time to rebalance your portfolio. If you’re planning to make a few trades in your account anyway, that’s a good time to make any product switches you’ve been considering.
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3 comments on “Remodelled Couch Potato portfolios for 2014

  1. Hi Dan,

    Just as you have embraced Mutual Funds with the Streetwise recommendation, why not include Mawer Balanced (MAW104), with the global neutral balanced profile of the Global Couch Potato, fees slightly less than the Streetwise (0.95%), and a fifteen year track record of superior returns?

    Reply

  2. I’m always interested in your articles and your blog, but I have a question about your asset allocation. With the market capitalization of Canadian equities being about 3% of the global market, what is your justification for allocating so much more to Canadian Equities? In your Global Couch Potato and Uber-Tuber portfolios, you have 33% of your equities allocated to Canadian equities, and in the Complete Couch Potato portfolio, it is 40% of non-real estate equities. Historically, Canadian equities have not outperformed other geographic sectors, such as the US, so is there a strategic reason to overweight Canadian equities in your portfolio?

    Reply

    • I would question more the 40% allocation in bonds… The historical performance of those couch potatoes are nothing to brag about…

      Reply

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