Interest rates have never been lower, meaning your safe fixed-income investments (like GICs) pay you practically nothing in terms of real, inflation-adjusted retirement income. Dividend-paying stocks pay better, especially after taxes if they’re Canadian stocks, but after stock-market scares of 2008 and March 2020, an overweight position in stocks is hardly going to let you sleep at night the way a taxpayer-guaranteed, inflation-indexed DB pension is going to.
Sadly, such pensions are increasingly rare in the private sector. So what to do? I’d consult the newly revised edition of his book Retirement Income For Life by retired actuary Fred Vettese.
Sharp-eyed MoneySense readers may realize we reviewed the original edition when it first came out in 2018 (which you can find here). I rarely review second editions, but so much has happened that I felt this one was worth another look. For one, Vettese has revised and expanded the book to the spring of 2020, allowing him to look at the COVID-19 issue and how an extended pandemic-related bear market could put further wrenches in retirement plans.
Secondly, if you’re like my wife and me, by now you have reached age 65 or even 70, and once-hypothetical questions like when to start receiving CPP and OAS benefits become even more urgent. The book describes several “enhancements” to a base case of an average almost-retired couple with no DB pensions and roughly $600,000 in savings. This base case—Vettese dubs them the Thompson family—pay high investment management fees (on the order of 2%, typically via mutual funds).
Couples in his base case also tend to take CPP as soon as it’s on offer at age 60, and OAS as soon as possible, at age 65. Vettese continues to pound the table about the value of these government pensions. Remember, in the absence of a DB plan, CPP and OAS are worth their weight in gold, being government-guaranteed-for-life sources of income that are inflation-indexed to boot. Vettese has made his arguments often before, so suffice it to say one of his “enhancements” is to delay taking CPP until age 70 if at all possible.
He’s fine with ordinary average folk taking OAS at 65, as I did myself, for reasons explained a few years ago in this column. However—and this seemed new to me—in a section of the book for high-net worth couples (which he defines as having $3 million in investable assets), he suggests they should also delay OAS to age 70, along with CPP.
As an actuary, Vettese sees this enhancement as a simple case of transferring risk from a retiree’s shoulders to the government’s. Why worry about investment risk and longevity risk when the government can worry about it on your behalf?
Similarly, a related enhancement is to engage in the same type of risk transfer by converting a portion of registered savings to the shoulders of life insurance companies. He suggests 20% can be annuitized, ideally after age 70. That’s a bit less than the 30% immediately upon retirement, which he recommended in the book’s first edition.